Adjust domestic oil prices of gasoline and diesel is still faced with stranded six yuan era
Cooling recent high international oil prices, so it is expected that the adjustment of domestic oil to become increasingly concentrated stranded. Reporter "Economic Information Daily" learned of a number of social monitoring bodies, which will be a new round of price adjustment window Oil (Monday) On May 25, but the current trend of crude oil, due to rising prices after less than 50 yuan / ton occurrence of the string is a high probability event.
From May 11th domestic oil prices "rising three 'decline in crude inventories in the US, a strong rebound in the dollar and instability in the Middle East and many other factors, international crude began to stagnate situation, five days of consecutive trading below the 19 the decline is more than 3%. As of 20 close, the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude for July futures prices for delivery closed at $ 58.98 a barrel for July delivery prices in London Brent crude oil futures closed at $ 65.03 a barrel.
In line with this, after the exchange rate of the reference price of domestic crude oil also it rose and then fell. Zhuo pricing models show that as of May 20 closing, the rate of change of the first eight days of crude oil of 0.37%, corresponding to gasoline and diesel by 15 yuan / ton. The estimated rate of change of Treasure Island 0.39%, corresponding to the rate of increase of 20 yuan / ton.
According to the new oil pricing mechanism, domestic gasoline and diesel prices once, when the price rises of less than 50 yuan per ton, without adjustment of international oil prices change every 10 days of tight work, cumulative or offset included in the price adjustment next time. It is understood that since 2015, the retail price of domestic refined oil experienced a fall of five to three stranded nine rounds of the total price cycle. Among them, the price of gasoline has gone up 570 yuan per ton and diesel
Head rotor prices increased cumulative 490 yuan per ton.
"According to the model calculations, if the next two days in crude oil $ 5.5 / barrel increase in oil prices raised the window can be opened ;. If the decrease in crude oil $ 5 / barrel, then through the open window "Bin Zhuo record information analysts believe that the short-term or remain volatile oil, the possibility of continuing surge fall is unlikely, May 25 adjustment of domestic oil prices will face stranded high probability event .
Zhongyu information analyst Dan Zerui also believe that the upward trend in international prices of oil in shock down, offsetting earlier gains, prices corresponding to the amplitude of 0 yuan / ton oil, stranding a foregone conclusion , most of gasoline and diesel will remain at "6 era Yuan".
International prices sharply lower crude and trend setting oil prices showing signs of reversal, domestic gasoline and diesel wholesale market also began to get cold. According to Zhang Bin, the slow economic recovery, leading to demand for diesel is difficult to have a big increase, along with the "three up" the rising price of oil on the situation, so in anticipation stranded, the Shipments of the company's refineries and poor sales, oil is difficult to maintain profits, and gasoline due to summer season, supporting the gasoline consumption, but the overall environment is not optimistic, but also affect your total consumption. But by supporting the demand of the retail market is relatively stable, the decline was weaker than the wholesale price of gasoline and diesel.
